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Las Vegas Odds Nfl Superbowl – One of the best parts of football fandom is debating which team will win it all. With just eight days until the opener, let’s take a look at the Super Bowl winner market.
There are no real surprises among the top five teams in Super Bowl markets. The Kansas City Chiefs have played in the past four AFC championships and won two titles. The Philadelphia Eagles lost in February’s Super Bowl, but still have a loaded roster in a weak NFC.
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Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills became a perennial contender, but they didn’t take that last step. On the other hand, the Cincinnati Bengals have reached the final two games of the AFC Championship. Buffalo and Cincinnati continue to serve as Kansas City’s primary competition for AFC supremacy.
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The San Francisco 49ers have played in three of the previous four NFC Championship games. Each of these five teams has a clear path to play in this year’s Super Bowl, but the 49ers are the only ones without an elite quarterback.
The NFC is significantly weaker than the AFC, so the Dallas Cowboys have the sixth lowest odds in this market. The Cowboys have gone 12-5 over the last two seasons and have added significant talent on both sides of the ball.
The New York Jets have a huge ceiling if Aaron Rodgers can return to his MVP-caliber form. In that scenario, New York has the raw materials to beat three or four elite teams in a row. If Rodgers can’t reach those heights, the Jets are a fringe playoff team in a loaded AFC.
The Baltimore Ravens are one of the most reliable teams in the league, but Lamar Jackson has never won a playoff game. The Detroit Lions are the consensus fourth-best team in the NFC heading into Day 1. It wouldn’t be a surprise if the Lions took a big step forward this season, but winning the Super Bowl is an ambitious expectation.
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The Los Angeles Chargers are in the conversation for the most talented roster in the league. Injuries have hampered their 2022 campaign, but it could be argued that they have fallen short in each of Brandon Staley’s first two years as coach.
The Miami Dolphins are in a similar position to the Chargers as both teams have outstanding rosters. The primary difference is that Justin Herbert is the second tier quarterback to Tua Tagovailoa.
Josh Larkey and I bet the Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl at odds of +7000 when this market opened in February. Seattle has a ways to go in the NFC, but like the Lions, winning the Super Bowl is an ambitious expectation.
The New Orleans Saints have the easiest schedule in the league, so they have a path to finish the season with the best record in the NFC. Still, it’s hard to see New Orleans beating three or more top-ranked opponents in a row to win the title.
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The Jacksonville Jaguars are an interesting bet in the long run. Given their significantly weaker division, they have a realistic path to the AFC’s top seed.
The Cleveland Browns are similar to the Jets in some ways because their season is riding on Deshaun Watson. If the version of Watson we saw at the end of last season is the new reality, Cleveland may not be a playoff team. If the pre-suspension version of Watson returns for 2020, the Browns can make a run.
The Minnesota Vikings have enough of a dangerous offense to make some noise in the NFC. However, even if their defense improves significantly, they could still be below average. It’s hard to see the Vikings winning three straight playoff games with their defense.
The Denver Broncos would be an exciting bet if they were in the NFC. Since they’re not, they have to leapfrog several teams to even make the playoffs in a loaded AFC.
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The Pittsburgh Steelers are one of the most confident teams in the league, and their young offense is likely to take a step forward. It won’t be a surprise if Pittsburgh makes the playoffs, but it’s hard to see a deep playoff run.
The Chicago Bears improved their roster significantly this offseason, but finished last year with the worst record in football. They could sneak into the playoffs, but it’s surprising to see Chicago ahead of certain teams in the Super Bowl betting market.
The Atlanta Falcons are an interesting shooter. They have the second easiest schedule in football and an improved roster. Even in a best-case scenario, where Atlanta cruises through the NFC, it’s hard to see them beating one of the AFC’s superpowers.
The New York Giants are in a similar position. They could take another step forward and surprise a few of the NFC’s best. But can they knock off Kansas City, Buffalo or Cincinnati in the big dance? That seems unlikely, but the Giants could be the deepest shooter with a realistic trajectory.
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It’s a surprise to see Sam Howell’s Washington Commanders and Jordan Love’s Green Bay Packers with the same Super Bowl odds as the Giants, who made the playoffs last year. This season, a playoff berth would be a great year for the Packers or Commanders.
The New England Patriots are always a tough out, but they have an absolutely brutal schedule. It’s hard to see them making the playoffs, let alone making a deep playoff run.
The Los Angeles Rams are just a year away from winning the Super Bowl, but their roster is significantly worse than it was in 2021. Similar to the Rams, the Las Vegas Raiders have a strong core. However, they have a brutal schedule, and QB Jimmy Garoppolo is at best a parallel move to Derek Carr.
The Tennessee Titans finished last season on a seven-game losing streak, but struggled under Mike Vrabel. With Tennessee being the AFC’s No. 1 seed in 2021, you can’t completely write him off in this market.
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The Carolina Panthers are an interesting favorite to win the NFC South if you don’t believe in New Orleans and Atlanta. Even in that scenario, Carolina has little chance of a Super Bowl run.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in a similar position to the Panthers as they play in the same winnable division. The question might best frame this decision: Do you want to bet that the Buccaneers will be more successful under Baker Mayfield than they were with Tom Brady last season? We certainly don’t.
The Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans are two shaky teams with starting quarterbacks. It would be a surprise to see either of them even sniff the playoffs in a loaded AFC.
The Arizona Cardinals have looked like the worst team in football all season. That attitude is getting an even bigger blow with whispers that Kyler Murray may not play this season.
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Ryan graduated with honors from the University of Minnesota with a major in accounting, but some of the most valuable business and investment lessons he ever learned came from spending… The big game is here! Check out the lines for our most popular prop bets and download our full 12 page props pack.
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Circa Sports initially opened this game as Chiefs -2.5. However, within minutes, the money poured in for the Eagles, causing the favorite to reverse, reaching as high as Eagles -2.5 within half an hour of the order being placed. It has since been set at Eagles -1.5.
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The Octopus: Will a player score a touchdown and then score a 2-point conversion on the same drive?
How unique will this game be? Circa Sports asks if there will be a “Scorigami” in this game, meaning if the final score has never happened before in an NFL game.
Almost everyone, including kickers(!), has Super Bowl MVP odds. Here are the top 10 from Circa Sports:
The big story for this year’s Super Bowl is that for the first time two brothers will face each other as the Chiefs’ Travis Kelce takes on the Eagles’ Jason Kelce. Circa Sports has created two special props around the brothers’ rivalry:
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After the NFC Championship Game, there was a lot of buzz about Eagles coach Nick Sirianni’s aggressiveness on the 4th.
While Eagles coach Nick Sirianni is ultra-aggressive, we know Chiefs coach Andy Reid can be creative in his game. Circa Sports wonders if tight ends could really get involved in the run game:
While all the attention has been focused on the skill position players, Circa Sports hasn’t forgotten special teams on its roster of props. Two unique props give bettors reason to pay attention during kickoffs and punts:
Our Pick Your Squares prop is based on the same