Odds To Win The Nfl Super Bowl – Photo: Getty Images. Pictured: Jalen Hurts (left), Joe Burrow (left center), Patrick Mahomes (right center) and Brock Purdy (right).
We’re approaching the NFL Final Four, and it’s not a stretch to suggest that this could be the most unpredictable Final Four in league history.
Odds To Win The Nfl Super Bowl
Since 2003, we’ve only had 11 conference championship games by three points or less, according to Bet Labs. This happened only three times in both games in the same year, and five of those six games were a three-point favorite:
Nfl Over/under Win Total Odds
Game this week and we might even end up with an overall spread of three or less. That makes Sunday’s championship game very unpredictable, meaning Super Bowl odds are nearly even for all four teams with just three games remaining.
The Eagles are slight favorites on FanDuel at +230. The Bengals at +260 and Chiefs at +280 are trailing, and the 49ers have a very short “long shot” at +320. The favorites are projected to have a 30.3% chance of winning the entire game, with the long odds being 23.8%.
The Eagles have been the best team in the NFL all season. Philadelphia started the season 8–0, remaining the league’s last undefeated team. They lost to Washington in a Monday night game in November, but that was the only blemish they’ve had all season with Jalen Hurts in the lineup, going 15-1 and requiring four turnovers.
When it comes to turnovers, the Eagles aren’t committing any. They only had four games with more than one loss all season, and only six in their other 14 games. The defense also forced at least one turnover in all but two games. Philadelphia had a negative turnover differential just five times all season. Take good care of the ball and you will win a lot of games.
San Francisco 49ers Playoffs And Super Bowl Odds
The Eagles remain the league’s deadliest offense with a healthy Hurts under center. They ranked first in Rushing DVOA and actually led the league in overall Offensive DVOA in Hurts games. He was in the running to win MVP before missing two late games with injury and is not currently listed on the injury report and looked healthy and ready to play against the Giants.
The Eagles have a true WR1 in A.J. Brown, who has 95 or more receiving yards in eight games this season. They could have a second WR1 in DeVonta Smith, whose 55.4-yard catch rate has increased from 5.1 over his first 11 games this year to 6.4 catches for 92.6 yards over the last seven.
With two receivers capable of 100 yards on any given day and Dallas Goedert eating up all the open space in the middle of the field, the Eagles can beat teams any way they can.
Philadelphia can also win on defense. In the passing league, the Eagles’ defense led the league in passing DVOA. Philadelphia’s deep and versatile front leads the league in pressure, and a talented secondary that could soon bring back nickel cornerback Avonte Maddox could take away the explosive pass rush. Either Mahomes or Burrow will be waiting in the Super Bowl, and the Eagles have to harass both QBs all game behind shaky lines and a great pass defense to match.
Saints Draft Needs: New Orleans’ Odds To Win Super Bowl, Win Total, How They Can Improve In 2022 Nfl Draft
In many ways, Philadelphia is the perfect matchup for the best teams in the league. The offense can punish the opponent with a physical, draining rushing attack, then defeat a tired defense with an underrated passing game. Additionally, the defense is built specifically to intercept the pass, and it has done it better than any team in the league.
Add to that a deep and talented coaching staff with coordinators on each side of the ball already interviewing for head coaching jobs.
It’s a winning formula in football, and it’s why the Eagles are the Super Bowl favorites with only four teams remaining. They have been my pick for most of the season and still look like the most likely champions on the board.
The Bengals were just a couple games away from winning the entire tournament last year, and then they got better. The numbers say this year’s team is better on both sides of the ball.
Detroit Lions Playoffs And Super Bowl Odds
It all starts with Joe Cool. Burrow built on last year’s success and has gotten even better this season. He has dropped his sack numbers significantly, especially as the season goes on, and his quick release and decision-making are key factors in Cincinnati’s offensive line blowing up again. Burrow’s efficiency has increased, his play has become more consistent, and he performed much better in this year’s playoffs than he did a year ago.
The Bengals have the deepest and most dangerous receiving corps in the league. Ja’Marr Chase can be as talented as any weapon, and his chemistry with Burrow is undeniable, with at least one hit in nine of the last 14 games. Tee Higgins is a WR1 in waiting, and Tyler Boyd is one of the best WR3s in the league.
The Bengals were too caught up in an ineffective rushing attack last year, and the 2022 season started off the same way. But the Bengals have the No. 2 Rushing DVOA from Week 4, now with the lethal power run game that dominated Buffalo last week and another tool to help tackle that tough line.
What was once a pass-heavy offense is now the league’s heaviest offense in neutral situations. Cincinnati has found its rhythm in the game, and the Bengals’ coaches allow Burrow to make quick decisions and gain momentum at the line. This attack is universal and battle-tested. He had the third toughest schedule in the league, but ranked fourth in DVOA even in just nine games against top 15 defenses.
Super Bowl Odds: Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams Favorites
There’s a lack of star power and big names on the other side of the ball, but maybe that’s because the big name on defense is coordinator Lou Anarumo. He has proven to be one of the most dangerous game planners in the league with brilliant in-game adjustments that have helped the Bengals run 23 of their last 27 second halves against the spread (ATS). That includes a perfect 6-0 record in playoff games, allowing just 6.0 second-half points against some of the league’s best offensive players.
The Bengals don’t have any star names, but D.J. Reader is a nasty player, while Trey Hendrickson and Sam Hubbard make for a terrific pass-rushing duo. Thanks to Anarumo, Cincinnati’s defense is greater than the sum of its parts.
Cincinnati won a playoff game in which it allowed nine sacks. The Bengals won one game without three starters on their offensive line. They won a game where the opponent was on the goal line late in the game. They came back from being down 21-3 and in a playoff game.
The Bengals have consistently found ways to win these playoff games. They have a QB that plays as well as anyone and they may have the most well-rounded roster left in the playoffs.
Seahawks Super Bowl Odds: What Seattle Needs To Do To Win Super Bowl 56
We’ve spent the entire offseason looking for this year’s Bengals, but what if it was just Cincinnati all along?
When you have Patrick Mahomes, you have a good chance of winning a Super Bowl. That’s why the Chiefs were favored to win the Super Bowl when the odds opened Sunday night, even though Mahomes’ ankle was the size of a pumpkin.
But hey, Pat fought through the pain on Sunday to take some one-footed shots to score a gutsy win, and we all know he’s the best and most talented footballer in the world, so do you really want to bet against him?
The Chiefs were widely expected to take a step back after trading Tyreek Hill and are without a wide receiver this year, but the offense has gotten even better. Without Hill, they’re more versatile and less predictable, and Travis Kelce is effectively the WR1 at tight end, one catch shy of the all-time playoff record set a week ago.
Super Bowl Odds 2024: Chiefs Favorite To Repeat
The Chiefs don’t have stars in the rest of their offense, but that’s because they spread the wealth. Rookie Isaiah Pacheco adds a dynamic play that the team has been missing, and Kansas City has ranked in the top 10 of the year in rushing DVOA and ranks No. 4 over the last six weeks. Jerick McKinnon is a receiving threat out of the backfield. JuJu Smith-Schuster is a zone destroyer. Marquez Valdes-Scantling stretches the field and Kadarius Toney is the gadget guy.
No team is more creative in the running game, especially on third down and in the red zone, where the Chiefs remain lethal. No game ends or stops completely until the whistle blows. Mahomes simply finds ways to beat opponents, on one leg or not.
Mahomes is 9-3 in his playoff career. He scored 35 touchdowns in those games, on pace for 50 touchdowns during the entire regular season, and the Chiefs averaged 31.9 points per game in playoff games against the league’s best opponents.
Imagine playing a team where a win would allow them to score “only” 30 points. You need a defense that can do that, plus an offense that can take 31 to beat them. Mahomes has one postseason loss.
Teams Given Best Odds To Win Super Bowl
He also always seems to have the best defense in the playoffs. Steve Spagunolo whips this defense into shape late, and Kansas City had one of its best defensive games of the season against
Current nfl odds to win the super bowl, current nfl odds to win super bowl, nfl team odds to win the super bowl, nfl playoff odds to win super bowl, nfl football odds to win super bowl, nfl odds to win the super bowl, vegas nfl odds to win super bowl, odds for nfl teams to win the super bowl, nfl best odds to win super bowl, nfl to win super bowl odds, nfl preseason odds to win super bowl, nfl teams odds to win super bowl